Refugees as Threats and Aid as Deterrence Tool: How Do Refugee Movements Affect Aid Allocation of European Donors?

서지정보

· 발행기관 : 고려대학교 평화와 민주주의연구소
· 수록지 정보 : 평화연구 / 30권 / 2호 / 5 ~ 56페이지
· 저자명 : 임현진, 우병원

초록

How do European countries respond to refugee inflows? This paper theorizes and empirically examines how European aid donors make changes to their aid allocation patterns in the face of the unprecedented refugee influx. We argue that 1) donors have incentives to increase aid to countries where refugees originate in order to deter more people from migrating and 2) the tendency to provide more aid to countries where more refugees originate intensifies after the 2015 Refugee Crisis. The argument is tested on a dyadic dataset of 23 Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) aid donors and 126 aid recipients from 2001 to 2019. We find that donors increasingly provide more aid to countries that send more refugees and asylum-seekers, and to countries where a larger share of their population is internally displaced. We also show that such tendency becomes much stronger after 2015, when European countries experienced a sudden surge of refugee influx, mainly from the Middle East and North Africa region.

참고자료

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