북한 산림복원 전략에 따른 탄소저장량 잠재성 평가

서지정보

ㆍ발행기관 : 한국환경생물학회 ㆍ수록지정보 : 환경생물 / 41권 / 3호
ㆍ저자명 : 조원희, 김인유, 고동욱

목차

1. 서 론
2. 재료 및 방법
2.1. 연구대상지
2.2. 북한 토지이용 변화 시나리오 구축
2.3. 북한의 탄소저장량 평가방법
3. 결과 및 고찰
3.1. 북한의 토지이용 변화 시나리오
3.2. 북한 탄소저장량 예측 평가
3.3. 북한 토지이용 변화에 따른 탄소저장량 예측평가의 한계와 의의
적 요
사 사

영어 초록

This study aimed to conduct a comprehensive assessment of the potential impact of deforestation and forest restoration on carbon storage in North Korea until 2050, employing rigorous analyses of trends of land use change in the past periods and projecting future land use change scenarios. We utilized the CA-Markov model, which can reflect spatial trends in land use changes, and verified the impact of forest restoration strategies on carbon storage by creating land use change scenarios (reforestation and non-reforestation). We employed two distinct periods of land use maps (2000 to 2010 and 2010 to 2020). To verify the overall terrestrial carbon storage in North Korea, our evaluation included estimations of carbon storage for various elements such as above-ground, below-ground, soil, and debris (including litters) for settlement, forest, cultivated, grass, and bare areas. Our results demonstrated that effective forest restoration strategies in North Korea have the potential to increase carbon storage by 4.4% by the year 2050, relative to the carbon storage observed in 2020. In contrast, if deforestation continues without forest restoration efforts, we predict a concerning decrease in carbon storage by 11.5% by the year 2050, compared to the levels in 2020. Our findings underscore the significance of prioritizing and continuing forest restoration efforts to effectively increase carbon storage in North Korea. Furthermore, the implications presented in this study are expected to be used in the formulation and implementation of long-term forest restoration strategies in North Korea, while fostering international cooperation towards this common environmental goal.

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